TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12463928
Played Aug 21Finished
Erik Huzsvar
Home
1.19
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11314161012118411
Daniel Rinderer
Away
4.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:34 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Rinderer to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11314161012118411
H2H Erik Huzsvar 0–1 Daniel Rinderer Erik Huzsvar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.19 (79%)
Huzsvar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Huzsvar 1665 vs Rinderer 1824
Rinderer
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huzsvar 60% vs Rinderer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huzsvar 40% vs Rinderer 70%
Rinderer
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huzsvar +1 · Rinderer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Huzsvar) · live re-read · sealed at 28% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuzsvar 1.19 / Rinderer 4.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Huzsvar)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12463928
Huzsvar1.19
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rinderer4.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHuzsvar0wins
AwayRinderer1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRinderer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHuzsvarRindererH − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.050.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuzsvarRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 50 vs 124 / 17852%69.7%26 / 50 vs 124 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuzsvarHuzsvar 1.19/Rinderer 4.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.7%
Huzsvar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar—1114101142D. Rinderer—316128113
E. Huzsvar10
WAug 25 · 10:30M. Henninger2.90115871E. Huzsvar1.3781111113LAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113LAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123WAug 24 · 13:30J. Willeke3.758111171E. Huzsvar1.2211139113LAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:00M. Henninger—112381E. Huzsvar—91111113WAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113WAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680WJul 24 · 11:00D. Rinderer—1112113J. Loffler—81070
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