TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12293651
Played Jul 24Finished
Daniel Rinderer
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Luis Kraus
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Rinderer to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
119116118––––
H2H Daniel Rinderer 7–3 Luis Kraus Luis Kraus has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Rinderer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Rinderer
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rinderer 1879 vs Kraus 1542
Rinderer
Correct
both rated, 336 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinderer 100% vs Kraus 40%
Rinderer
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinderer 80% vs Kraus 60%
Rinderer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinderer +5 · Kraus -1
Rinderer
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Rinderer) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinderer 1.20 / Kraus 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Rinderer)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12293651
Rinderer1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Kraus4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRinderer7wins
AwayKraus3wins
Rinderer leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRinderer77.8%7 of 9
AwayKrausn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rinderer9Kraus1n = 10Rinderer took 9 of 10
S2Rinderer7Kraus3n = 10Rinderer took 7 of 10
S3Rinderer7Kraus3n = 10Rinderer took 7 of 10
S4Rinderer1Kraus3n = 4Kraus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRindererKrausR − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match34.326.1+8.2per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRindererKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 167 vs 85 / 22670.1%37.6%117 / 167 vs 85 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.531.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererRinderer 1.20/Kraus 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.9%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 08:00D. Rinderer—118861L. Kraus—71111113
LJul 23 · 07:00D. Rinderer—118861L. Kraus—71111113
WJul 6 · 12:30D. Rinderer—1111113L. Kraus—5550
WJun 29 · 10:30D. Rinderer—1111113L. Kraus—7450
LMay 21 · 10:00D. Rinderer—7118101L. Kraus—11111123
WFeb 12 · 08:30D. Rinderer—1111113L. Kraus—4780
WOct 20 · 12:00D. Rinderer—11911113L. Kraus—611821
WSep 15 · 07:00D. Rinderer—1111113L. Kraus—9770
WAug 25 · 17:00D. Rinderer—1211113L. Kraus—10770
WAug 18 · 17:00D. Rinderer—1111113L. Kraus—8770
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:00D. Rinderer—1112113J. Loffler—81070
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
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