TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13011481
Played Aug 25Finished
Matthias Danzer
Home
1.18
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117711116––
Erik Huzsvar
Away
4.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMatthias Danzer to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117711116––
H2H Matthias Danzer 4–0 Erik Huzsvar Erik Huzsvar has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (77%)
Danzer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Danzer
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danzer 1871 vs Huzsvar 1678
Danzer
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danzer 80% vs Huzsvar 60%
Danzer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danzer 80% vs Huzsvar 60%
Danzer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danzer +1 · Huzsvar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Danzer) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huzsvar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanzer 1.18 / Huzsvar 4.05
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Danzer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13011481
Danzer1.18
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Huzsvar4.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDanzer4wins
AwayHuzsvar0wins
Danzer leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanzer100%4 of 4
AwayHuzsvarn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danzer4Huzsvar0n = 4Danzer took 4 of 4
S2Danzer4Huzsvar0n = 4Danzer took 4 of 4
S3Danzer3Huzsvar1n = 4Danzer took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDanzerHuzsvarD − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match34.823.0+11.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanzerHuzsvarBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 273 vs 31 / 5775.1%54.4%205 / 273 vs 31 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerDanzer 1.18/Huzsvar 4.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191
WAug 20 · 15:00M. Danzer—1111113E. Huzsvar—5870
WOct 28 · 07:30M. Danzer—1111113E. Huzsvar—7580
WOct 28 · 07:03M. Danzer—1111113E. Huzsvar—7580
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150
E. Huzsvar10
WAug 25 · 10:30M. Henninger2.90115871E. Huzsvar1.3781111113WAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113LAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123WAug 24 · 13:30J. Willeke3.758111171E. Huzsvar1.2211139113LAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:00M. Henninger—112381E. Huzsvar—91111113WAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113WAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171
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