TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12463927
Played Aug 21Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Alex Moreno
Away
2.76
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:34 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeSiddharta Almeida to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117115119––––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Almeida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1545 vs Moreno 1169
Almeida
Correct
both rated, 376 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 80% vs Moreno 0%
Almeida
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 50% vs Moreno 0%
Almeida
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida +2 · Moreno -5
Moreno
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Almeida) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moreno form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 1.40 / Moreno 2.76
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Almeida)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12463927
Almeida1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Moreno2.76
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaMorenoBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 16 / 11780%13.7%4 / 5 vs 16 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.80.9per matchAvg pointsper match42.428.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
AlmeidaAlmeida 1.40/Moreno 2.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Almeida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Almeida won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261
A. Moreno10
LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171LAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113
Upcoming Matches
S. Almeida
A. Moreno
Nothing scheduled
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