TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412183
Played Aug 14Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911114116117––
Marcel Neumaier
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Marcel Neumaier below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 54.3%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 2004 vs Neumaier 1618
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 386 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Neumaier 80%
Kosolosky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 100% vs Neumaier 80%
Kosolosky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Neumaier +2
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neumaier form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.17 / Neumaier 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412183
Kosolosky1.17
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Neumaier4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyNeumaierBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 81 vs 60 / 10676.5%56.6%62 / 81 vs 60 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.17/Neumaier 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosolosky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762WAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130
M. Neumaier10
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120WAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:30M. Stefanidis—119611113M. Neumaier—61111782WAug 13 · 12:00L. Qiu1.20117981M. Neumaier4.3371111113WAug 13 · 09:00D. Zech4.331177101M. Neumaier1.2081111123LAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920WAug 4 · 11:00A. Mino1.07761141M. Neumaier7.0011113113
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