TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12360047
Played Aug 4Finished
Alberto Mino
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611113411––
Marcel Neumaier
Away
7.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAlberto Mino to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlberto Mino above · Marcel Neumaier below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Alberto Mino at 57.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Alberto Mino 1–0 Marcel Neumaier Marcel Neumaier has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (87%)
Mino
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mino 1871 vs Neumaier 1606
Mino
Wrong
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mino 100% vs Neumaier 60%
Mino
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mino 90% vs Neumaier 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mino +5 · Neumaier +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Mino) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neumaier form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMino 1.07 / Neumaier 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Mino)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12360047
Mino1.07
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Neumaier7.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMino1wins
AwayNeumaier0wins
Mino leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMinoNeumaierM − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.029.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMinoNeumaierBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 17 vs 55 / 10076.5%55%13 / 17 vs 55 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MinoMino 1.07/Neumaier 7.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
86.7%
Mino · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neumaier won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 3 · 13:00A. Mino—11411113M. Neumaier—711561
A. Mino10
LSep 3 · 06:10A. Mino3.403790F. Bourrassaud1.301111113WSep 2 · 12:10A. Shulaybi4.33611111062A. Mino1.20117412113WSep 2 · 06:15D. Shi—6450A. Mino—1111113LAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113WAug 26 · 10:20P. Dziuba2.6311671192A. Mino1.44611119113WAug 25 · 09:45A. Mino2.201111711113J. Skalda1.5713411972LAug 24 · 14:00A. Mino1.364820Y. Yu3.001111113WAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622WAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530WAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181
M. Neumaier10
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120WAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:30M. Stefanidis—119611113M. Neumaier—61111782WAug 13 · 12:00L. Qiu1.20117981M. Neumaier4.3371111113WAug 13 · 09:00D. Zech4.331177101M. Neumaier1.2081111123LAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920
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