TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12432488
Played Aug 14Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.05
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161311––––
Marcel Neumaier
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1191161311––––
H2H Dauud Cheaib 4–0 Marcel Neumaier Marcel Neumaier has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (88%)
Cheaib
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Cheaib
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1965 vs Neumaier 1592
Cheaib
Correct
both rated, 373 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 100% vs Neumaier 60%
Cheaib
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 70% vs Neumaier 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib +5 · Neumaier -1
Cheaib
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neumaier form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.05 / Neumaier 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Cheaib)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12432488
Cheaib1.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Neumaier8.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCheaib4wins
AwayNeumaier0wins
Cheaib leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCheaib100%4 of 4
AwayNeumaiern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cheaib4Neumaier0n = 4Cheaib took 4 of 4
S2Cheaib3Neumaier1n = 4Cheaib took 3 of 4
S3Cheaib4Neumaier0n = 4Cheaib took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricCheaibNeumaierC − NBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match35.021.5+13.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibNeumaierBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 91 vs 60 / 10881.3%55.6%74 / 91 vs 60 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.05/Neumaier 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.4%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cheaib won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib—1111133M. Neumaier—96110
WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib—1111113M. Neumaier—5920
WSep 26 · 08:30D. Cheaib—11611113M. Neumaier—511451
WAug 15 · 08:00D. Cheaib—1111113M. Neumaier—7750
D. Cheaib10
LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.102750WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192WAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271WAug 13 · 11:00D. Cheaib1.37481511123N. Kizakisz2.801111136102LAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920LApr 10 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.8320D. Rinderer1.8320
M. Neumaier10
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110LAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120WAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:30M. Stefanidis—119611113M. Neumaier—61111782WAug 13 · 12:00L. Qiu1.20117981M. Neumaier4.3371111113WAug 13 · 09:00D. Zech4.331177101M. Neumaier1.2081111123LAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920WAug 4 · 11:00A. Mino1.07761141M. Neumaier7.0011113113
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