TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412186
Played Aug 14Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117115––––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
112117115––––
H2H Dauud Cheaib 6–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Cheaib
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Cheaib
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1956 vs Stefanidis 1574
Cheaib
Correct
both rated, 383 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 80% vs Stefanidis 60%
Cheaib
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 70% vs Stefanidis 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib +3 · Stefanidis -2
Cheaib
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.60 / Stefanidis 2.10
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Cheaib)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412186
Cheaib1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stefanidis2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeCheaib6wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
Cheaib leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCheaib100%6 of 6
AwayStefanidisn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cheaib6Stefanidis0n = 6Cheaib took 6 of 6
S2Cheaib5Stefanidis1n = 6Cheaib took 5 of 6
S3Cheaib5Stefanidis1n = 6Cheaib took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home467%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricCheaibStefanidisC − SBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match36.019.8+16.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 93 vs 71 / 17980.7%39.7%75 / 93 vs 71 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.033.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.60/Stefanidis 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cheaib won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—2750
WDec 8 · 15:30D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—8820
WSep 25 · 11:00D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—6540
WAug 21 · 13:05D. Cheaib—1113113M. Stefanidis—61130
WFeb 24 · 09:30D. Cheaib—11117113M. Stefanidis—881121
WJan 21 · 08:30D. Cheaib—11911113M. Stefanidis—411441
D. Cheaib10
LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192WAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271WAug 13 · 11:00D. Cheaib1.37481511123N. Kizakisz2.801111136102LAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920LApr 10 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.8320D. Rinderer1.8320
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880
Upcoming Matches
D. Cheaib
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M. Stefanidis1 of 4 neutral
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