TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412200
Played Aug 13Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41181115131161210
Nikolaosz Kizakisz
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
41181115131161210
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Cheaib
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1948 vs Kizakisz 1224
Cheaib
Correct
both rated, 723 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 40% vs Kizakisz 20%
Cheaib
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 70% vs Kizakisz 10%
Cheaib
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib -1 · Kizakisz -3
Kizakisz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizakisz form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.37 / Kizakisz 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Cheaib)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412200
Cheaib1.37
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kizakisz2.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibKizakiszBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 83 vs 9 / 4580.7%20%67 / 83 vs 9 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.71.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.029.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.37/Kizakisz 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cheaib won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Cheaib10
LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.102750WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192WAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271LAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920LApr 10 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.8320D. Rinderer1.8320
N. Kizakisz10
LAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113WAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113WAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113WAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida1.40111181002N. Kizakisz2.65791112113LAug 20 · 10:00M. Danzer—11511113N. Kizakisz—411371LAug 20 · 06:30E. Huzsvar1.0711117113N. Kizakisz6.25581151LAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120LAug 13 · 17:30L. Qiu—1111113N. Kizakisz—7350
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