TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412205
Played Aug 13Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311113––––
Dauud Cheaib
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Dauud Cheaib below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 57 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 57.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Olav Kosolosky 0–4 Dauud Cheaib Olav Kosolosky has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:46What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cheaib
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Cheaib
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 1974 vs Cheaib 1965
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Cheaib 60%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 100% vs Cheaib 80%
Kosolosky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Cheaib +1
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cheaib form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 2.75 / Cheaib 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Cheaib)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412205
Kosolosky2.75
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Cheaib1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosolosky0wins
AwayCheaib4wins
3 of 4 to a deciderCheaib leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosoloskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCheaib100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosolosky1Cheaib3n = 4Cheaib took 3 of 4
S2Kosolosky1Cheaib3n = 4Cheaib took 3 of 4
S3Kosolosky3Cheaib1n = 4Kosolosky took 3 of 4
S4Kosolosky1Cheaib2n = 3Cheaib took 2 of 3
S5Kosolosky0Cheaib3n = 3Cheaib took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away375%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosoloskyCheaibK − CBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.848.2−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyCheaibBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 76 vs 67 / 8375%80.7%57 / 76 vs 67 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.52.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibKosolosky 2.75/Cheaib 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 9 · 07:58O. Kosolosky—810110D. Cheaib—1112133
LJan 16 · 12:00O. Kosolosky—911111052D. Cheaib—119612113
LJan 15 · 14:30O. Kosolosky—710131582D. Cheaib—11121113113
LJan 6 · 13:00O. Kosolosky—11811672D. Cheaib—811911113
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762
D. Cheaib10
LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.102750WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192WAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271WAug 13 · 11:00D. Cheaib1.37481511123N. Kizakisz2.801111136102WAug 13 · 07:00D. Cheaib1.071111113M. Neumaier7.505920LApr 10 · 10:15D. Cheaib1.8320D. Rinderer1.8320
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