TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412201
Played Aug 13Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.03
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111811911117116
Damian Zech
Away
10.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 80.0% is still 80.0%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
80.0%
80.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 80.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Olav Kosolosky 8–0 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-0 in 8
Kosolosky
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 2004 vs Zech 1431
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 573 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Zech 60%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 100% vs Zech 30%
Kosolosky
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Zech -1
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.03 / Zech 10.00
Signal prob.95% / 5%
Edge (Kosolosky)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412201
Kosolosky1.03
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Zech10.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKosolosky8wins
AwayZech0wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKosolosky leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosolosky100%8 of 8
AwayZechn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosolosky8Zech0n = 8Kosolosky took 8 of 8
S2Kosolosky4Zech4n = 8split evenly
S3Kosolosky7Zech1n = 8Kosolosky took 7 of 8
S4Kosolosky4Zech0n = 4Kosolosky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKosoloskyZechK − ZBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set80+8of 8Avg pointsper match38.126.0+12.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyZechBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 81 vs 60 / 22076.5%27.3%62 / 81 vs 60 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.51.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.432.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.03/Zech 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.7%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky—118911113D. Zech—11111762
WJun 18 · 14:00O. Kosolosky—12811113D. Zech—1011761
WJun 18 · 13:00O. Kosolosky—12811113D. Zech—1011761
WApr 9 · 09:30O. Kosolosky—11611113D. Zech—911581
WDec 5 · 11:30O. Kosolosky—1111113D. Zech—7560
WDec 4 · 17:30O. Kosolosky—1111113D. Zech—3690
WFeb 13 · 12:30O. Kosolosky—1111113D. Zech—5890
WJan 16 · 12:30O. Kosolosky—1111113D. Zech—2920
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130
D. Zech10
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271
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