TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412194
Played Aug 13Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113117––––
Liang Qiu
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Liang Qiu below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 55.8%
49 points played in total.
H2H Olav Kosolosky 3–0 Liang Qiu Liang Qiu has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kosolosky
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 1993 vs Qiu 1589
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 404 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Qiu 40%
Kosolosky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 100% vs Qiu 70%
Kosolosky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Qiu -1
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosolosky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.44 / Qiu 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412194
Kosolosky1.44
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Qiu2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosolosky3wins
AwayQiu0wins
Kosolosky leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosolosky2Qiu1n = 3Kosolosky took 2 of 3
S2Kosolosky1Qiu2n = 3Qiu took 2 of 3
S3Kosolosky3Qiu0n = 3Kosolosky took 3 of 3
S4Kosolosky3Qiu0n = 3Kosolosky took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home3100%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosoloskyQiuK − QBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.329.0+8.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyQiuBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 78 vs 21 / 5175.6%41.2%59 / 78 vs 21 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.44/Qiu 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 18 · 18:30O. Kosolosky—51111113L. Qiu—117661
WFeb 14 · 11:30O. Kosolosky—11711113L. Qiu—611461
WFeb 13 · 17:30O. Kosolosky—11111113L. Qiu—811381
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762WAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130
L. Qiu10
WAug 30 · 09:00L. Qiu1.30111011863T. Tregler3.4071261152WAug 30 · 08:00L. Qiu3.0011113113T. Polansky1.36791151LAug 29 · 09:42L. Qiu—11911652J. Piccolin—71131163WAug 29 · 08:00L. Qiu—76111363G. Camara—111151152LAug 28 · 08:00L. Qiu—2D. Prokopcov—3LAug 20 · 14:00E. Huzsvar—11117113L. Qiu—471151LAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:30L. Qiu1.0512119113A. Moreno8.501091191LAug 20 · 08:00L. Qiu3.2510640M. Danzer1.331211113WAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113
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