TT Lossbeater/Champions League
Champions LeagueMatch #13046379
Played Aug 30Finished
Liang Qiu
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119311115––
Tomas Polansky
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Polansky to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLiang Qiu above · Tomas Polansky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 10-5
Point 67 set 4, 10-5 — our read held Tomas Polansky at 57.1%
67 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:39What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Polansky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Qiu 20% vs Polansky 40%
Polansky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Qiu 40% vs Polansky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Qiu -1 · Polansky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Polansky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polansky form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsQiu 3.00 / Polansky 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Polansky)+0.0pp
Champions League · #13046379
Qiu3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Polansky1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricQiuPolanskyBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolanskyQiu 3.00/Polansky 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Polansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Qiu won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Qiu10
WAug 30 · 09:00L. Qiu1.30111011863T. Tregler3.4071261152LAug 29 · 09:42L. Qiu—11911652J. Piccolin—71131163WAug 29 · 08:00L. Qiu—76111363G. Camara—111151152LAug 28 · 08:00L. Qiu—2D. Prokopcov—3LAug 20 · 14:00E. Huzsvar—11117113L. Qiu—471151LAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:30L. Qiu1.0512119113A. Moreno8.501091191LAug 20 · 08:00L. Qiu3.2510640M. Danzer1.331211113WAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 17:30L. Qiu—1111113N. Kizakisz—7350
T. Polansky10
WSep 3 · 16:09T. Polansky1.401111112A. Junior2.7585110WAug 29 · 08:48T. Polansky1.4411119113D. Prokopcov2.63461171LAug 28 · 08:38T. Polansky1.2096111132J. Piccolin4.3311117963LAug 7 · 06:20H. Hsu1.4011138113T. Polansky2.757111161WAug 6 · 11:10J. Chua—1112961T. Polansky—131011113LMay 5 · 17:20T. Konecny1.831111113T. Polansky1.835890LMay 5 · 16:00D. Reitspies1.8311611113T. Polansky1.83711751WApr 29 · 16:31T. Polansky1.8311611113Y. Pryshchepa1.83911791WApr 22 · 17:00D. Reitspies1.7311129782T. Polansky2.009101111113WApr 22 · 16:32T. Konecny1.831110581T. Polansky1.8351211113
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