TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11907371
Played May 19Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
8.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
15171210611811––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 90 set 4, 8-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 0–6 Kirill Fadeev Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 8.00 / Fadeev 1.06
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Fadeev)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11907371
Lama8.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Fadeev1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLama0wins
AwayFadeev6wins
1 of 6 to a deciderFadeev leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaman = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFadeev100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama1Fadeev5n = 6Fadeev took 5 of 6
S2Lama3Fadeev3n = 6split evenly
S3Lama0Fadeev6n = 6Fadeev took 6 of 6
S4Lama0Fadeev3n = 3Fadeev took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricLamaFadeevL − FBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match27.239.2−12.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 210 vs 129 / 17938.6%72.1%81 / 210 vs 129 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.72.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevLama 8.00/Fadeev 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.3%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama—1K. Fadeev—3
LApr 6 · 14:30J. Lama—2K. Fadeev—3
LDec 23 · 12:00J. Lama—0K. Fadeev—3
LDec 22 · 16:00J. Lama—0K. Fadeev—3
LApr 28 · 15:30J. Lama—1K. Fadeev—3
LApr 21 · 11:00J. Lama—0K. Fadeev—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121
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