Jaime Lama vs Damian Zech 3-1 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #11913433

Played May 21Finished

Jaime Lama

Home

1.33

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 6

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911114117119––

Damian Zech

Away

3.25

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJaime Lama above · Damian Zech below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 73 set 4, 11-9

73 points played in total.

H2H Jaime Lama 5–3 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 3 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 5–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lama)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zech form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLama 1.33 / Zech 3.25

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Lama)+1.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #11913433

Lama1.33

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

Zech3.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeLama5wins

AwayZech3wins

1 of 8 to a deciderLama leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLama100%5 of 5

AwayZech100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lama5Zech3n = 8Lama took 5 of 8

S2Lama4Zech4n = 8split evenly

S3Lama5Zech3n = 8Lama took 5 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home450%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home113%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away113%

0–3Straight, away225%

These 8 meetings

MetricLamaZechL − ZBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match34.532.1+2.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLamaZechBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 212 vs 62 / 27638.2%22.5%81 / 212 vs 62 / 276Avg sets wonper match1.71.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.131.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lama

Lama 1.33/Zech 3.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

71.9%

Lama · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Lama won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record8

LMay 14 · 12:00J. Lama—0D. Zech—3

WFeb 12 · 15:00J. Lama—3D. Zech—0

LDec 4 · 11:30J. Lama—0D. Zech—3

WNov 6 · 11:30J. Lama—3D. Zech—0

WOct 30 · 14:30J. Lama—3D. Zech—2

LOct 23 · 14:30J. Lama—1D. Zech—3

WApr 21 · 12:30J. Lama—3D. Zech—0

WJan 2 · 17:30J. Lama—3D. Zech—0

J. Lama10

WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462 LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113 LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123 WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682 LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113 LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123 LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113 LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113 LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113 LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113

D. Zech10

LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113 LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113 LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970 LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382 LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113 WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791 LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113 WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871 WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340 LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271

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