Jaime Lama vs Sven Happek 3-2 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #11913425

Played May 22Finished

Jaime Lama

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

911119111114116

Sven Happek

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingJaime Lama above · Sven Happek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 1-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 84 set 5, 11-6

84 points played in total.

H2H Jaime Lama 4–3 Sven Happek Sven Happek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 4–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lama)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lama form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLama 1.53 / Happek 2.38

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Lama)+1.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #11913425

Lama1.53

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

Happek2.38

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeLama4wins

AwayHappek3wins

1 of 7 to a deciderLama leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLama100%4 of 4

AwayHappek100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lama4Happek3n = 7Lama took 4 of 7

S2Lama2Happek4n = 6Happek took 4 of 6

S3Lama3Happek3n = 6split evenly

S4Lama3Happek0n = 3Lama took 3 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home229%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away114%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away229%

These 7 meetings

MetricLamaHappekL − HBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match30.028.0+2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLamaHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 216 vs 52 / 14938.4%34.9%83 / 216 vs 52 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.232.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lama

Lama 1.53/Happek 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.8%

Lama · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Lama won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

WMay 14 · 14:00J. Lama—3S. Happek—0

WMar 16 · 13:00J. Lama—3S. Happek—1

WMar 9 · 10:00J. Lama—3S. Happek—1

WDec 15 · 19:00J. Lama—1S. Happek—0

LNov 25 · 08:00J. Lama—2S. Happek—3

LSep 22 · 16:30J. Lama—0S. Happek—3

LMar 24 · 10:00J. Lama—0S. Happek—3

J. Lama10

LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113 LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123 WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682 WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791 LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113 LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123 LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113 LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113 LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113 LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113

S. Happek10

LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270 WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272 LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431 LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970 LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113 LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113 LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113 LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113 LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113 LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113

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