TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11913437
Played May 21Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111012––––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 1–5 Daniel Rinderer Jaime Lama has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 6.00 / Rinderer 1.11
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Rinderer)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11913437
Lama6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Rinderer1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLama1wins
AwayRinderer5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderRinderer leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaman = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayRinderer100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama1Rinderer5n = 6Rinderer took 5 of 6
S2Lama2Rinderer4n = 6Rinderer took 4 of 6
S3Lama1Rinderer5n = 6Rinderer took 5 of 6
S4Lama0Rinderer3n = 3Rinderer took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricLamaRindererL − RBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match29.238.8−9.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 217 vs 121 / 17638.7%68.8%84 / 217 vs 121 / 176Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererLama 6.00/Rinderer 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.4%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama—0D. Rinderer—3
LMar 16 · 08:00J. Lama—1D. Rinderer—3
LFeb 12 · 11:30J. Lama—0D. Rinderer—3
LOct 20 · 09:00J. Lama—0D. Rinderer—3
WAug 26 · 08:30J. Lama—3D. Rinderer—2
LAug 18 · 15:30J. Lama—1D. Rinderer—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
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