TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11913435
Played May 21Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111315116811––
Rafael Turrini
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Rafael Turrini below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 0–11 Rafael Turrini Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Turrini form (60%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 10.00 / Turrini 1.03
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Turrini)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11913435
Lama10.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Turrini1.03
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLama0wins
AwayTurrini10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTurrini leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaman = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTurrini100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama1Turrini9n = 10Turrini took 9 of 10
S2Lama3Turrini7n = 10Turrini took 7 of 10
S3Lama3Turrini7n = 10Turrini took 7 of 10
S4Lama0Turrini5n = 5Turrini took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricLamaTurriniL − TBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match25.940.0−14.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaTurriniBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 211 vs 245 / 28938.4%84.8%81 / 211 vs 245 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.72.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniLama 10.00/Turrini 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.7%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 6 · 06:30J. Lama—0R. Turrini—3
LMar 20 · 12:15J. Lama—1R. Turrini—3
LMar 19 · 16:30J. Lama—0R. Turrini—3
LMar 9 · 13:00J. Lama—0R. Turrini—3
LJan 19 · 16:30J. Lama—2R. Turrini—3
LDec 16 · 12:15J. Lama—2R. Turrini—3
LDec 15 · 07:30J. Lama—1R. Turrini—3
LDec 4 · 07:30J. Lama—1R. Turrini—3
LOct 20 · 13:00J. Lama—0R. Turrini—3
LSep 22 · 08:00J. Lama—0R. Turrini—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011211113C. Schmitt13.0010760WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571
Upcoming Matches
J. Lama
Nothing scheduled
R. Turrini1 of 4 neutral
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