TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13090006
Played Sep 7Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.01
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117116––––
Cosmo Schmitt
Away
13.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:12 and never touched — 92.8% is still 92.8%
Graded at full timeRafael Turrini to win
92.8%
92.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Cosmo Schmitt below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Rafael Turrini at 92.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 2–0 Cosmo Schmitt Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.01 (93%)
Turrini
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Turrini 2087 vs Schmitt 1186
Turrini
Correct
both rated, 901 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Turrini 80% vs Schmitt 20%
Turrini
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Turrini 90% vs Schmitt 20%
Turrini
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Turrini +2 · Schmitt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmitt form (20%) outperforms what odds imply (8%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.01 / Schmitt 13.00
Signal prob.93% / 7%
Edge (Turrini)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13090006
Turrini1.01
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Schmitt13.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTurrini2wins
AwaySchmitt0wins
Turrini leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTurriniSchmittT − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.519.5+14.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniSchmittBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 237 vs 8 / 5286.1%15.4%204 / 237 vs 8 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.71.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.730.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.01/Schmitt 13.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.8%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 1 · 11:00R. Turrini—1112113C. Schmitt—91070
WMay 25 · 11:00R. Turrini—1111113C. Schmitt—4450
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571WJun 1 · 12:30R. Turrini—91111113M. Stefanidis—119461
C. Schmitt10
LSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670
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