TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12169757
Played Jul 7Finished
Daniel Rinderer
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012115116––
Cosmo Schmitt
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDaniel Rinderer above · Cosmo Schmitt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Rinderer 2–0 Cosmo Schmitt Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinderer 1.06 / Schmitt 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Rinderer)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12169757
Rinderer1.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Schmitt8.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRinderer2wins
AwaySchmitt0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderRinderer leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRindererSchmittR − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.535.5+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRindererSchmittBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 158 vs 7 / 5068.4%14%108 / 158 vs 7 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.41.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.230.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererRinderer 1.06/Schmitt 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer—111011113C. Schmitt—712561
WJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer—116511113C. Schmitt—61111852
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
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