TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167823
Played Jul 6Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513119911117––
Cosmo Schmitt
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Cosmo Schmitt below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 86 set 4, 11-7
86 points played in total.
H2H Luis Kraus 1–0 Cosmo Schmitt Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kraus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (20%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 1.20 / Schmitt 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kraus)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167823
Kraus1.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Schmitt4.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKraus1wins
AwaySchmitt0wins
Kraus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrausSchmittK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.019.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausSchmittBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 215 vs 7 / 4735.8%14.9%77 / 215 vs 7 / 47Avg sets wonper match1.51.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.029.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrausKraus 1.20/Schmitt 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Kraus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kraus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 16 · 13:30L. Kraus—1112113C. Schmitt—41050
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
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