TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167816
Played Jul 6Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Cosmo Schmitt
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingSergio Carrillo above · Cosmo Schmitt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11
54 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmitt form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 1.25 / Schmitt 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167816
Carrillo1.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Schmitt3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloSchmittBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 6 / 4620%13%2 / 10 vs 6 / 46Avg sets wonper match1.01.0per matchAvg pointsper match27.829.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloCarrillo 1.25/Schmitt 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schmitt won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
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