TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12119789
Played Jun 29Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511311––––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSergio Carrillo above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 52 set 3, 3-11
52 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 8.00 / Fadeev 1.06
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12119789
Carrillo8.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Fadeev1.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 153 / 21040%72.9%4 / 10 vs 153 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.42.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevCarrillo 8.00/Fadeev 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fadeev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121WJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113
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