TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167814
Played Jul 6Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214119131110121210
Enio Mendes
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingSergio Carrillo above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 114 set 5, 12-10
114 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Mendes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 6.50 / Mendes 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Mendes)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167814
Carrillo6.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Mendes1.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 12 vs 51 / 7125%71.8%3 / 12 vs 51 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match28.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MendesCarrillo 6.50/Mendes 1.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.5%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Carrillo won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
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