TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12169562
Played Jul 7Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Enio Mendes
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12
57 points played in total.
H2H Luis Kraus 0–2 Enio Mendes Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Mendes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 6.50 / Mendes 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Mendes)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12169562
Kraus6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Mendes1.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKraus0wins
AwayMendes2wins
Mendes leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrausMendesK − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.538.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 217 vs 51 / 7236.4%70.8%79 / 217 vs 51 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match31.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MendesKraus 6.50/Mendes 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 17 · 10:26L. Kraus—124891E. Mendes—101111113
LFeb 17 · 07:30L. Kraus—9980E. Mendes—1111113
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
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