TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167819
Played Jul 6Finished
Enio Mendes
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811118112––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingEnio Mendes above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2
69 points played in total.
H2H Enio Mendes 1–0 Kirill Fadeev Kirill Fadeev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mendes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMendes 1.67 / Fadeev 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mendes)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167819
Mendes1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fadeev2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMendes1wins
AwayFadeev0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMendes leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMendesFadeevM − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.052.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMendesFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 70 vs 159 / 21971.4%72.6%50 / 70 vs 159 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MendesMendes 1.67/Fadeev 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 16 · 14:30E. Mendes—611113143K. Fadeev—119911122
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.