TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167821
Played Jul 6Finished
Cosmo Schmitt
Home
10.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181917611811711
Enio Mendes
Away
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingCosmo Schmitt above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 19-17
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 109 set 5, 7-11
109 points played in total.
H2H Cosmo Schmitt 0–3 Enio Mendes Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Mendes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) is below what odds imply (98%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmitt 10.50 / Mendes 1.02
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Mendes)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167821
Schmitt10.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Mendes1.02
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchmitt0wins
AwayMendes3wins
Mendes leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchmittn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMendes100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmitt0Mendes3n = 3Mendes took 3 of 3
S2Schmitt0Mendes3n = 3Mendes took 3 of 3
S3Schmitt0Mendes3n = 3Mendes took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchmittMendesS − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match17.333.0−15.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmittMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 44 vs 47 / 6713.6%70.2%6 / 44 vs 47 / 67Avg sets wonper match1.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match29.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MendesSchmitt 10.50/Mendes 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.1%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 1 · 13:00C. Schmitt—2870E. Mendes—1111113
LMay 25 · 08:30C. Schmitt—3450E. Mendes—1111113
LFeb 16 · 17:30C. Schmitt—9860E. Mendes—1111113
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
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