TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167824
Played Jul 6Finished
Cosmo Schmitt
Home
10.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111811611––––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingCosmo Schmitt above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Cosmo Schmitt 0–2 Kirill Fadeev Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (60%) is below what odds imply (98%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmitt 10.50 / Fadeev 1.02
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167824
Schmitt10.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Fadeev1.02
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSchmitt0wins
AwayFadeev2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderFadeev leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSchmittFadeevS − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.538.5−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmittFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 45 vs 157 / 21713.3%72.4%6 / 45 vs 157 / 217Avg sets wonper match1.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match30.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevSchmitt 10.50/Fadeev 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.1%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 16 · 10:00C. Schmitt—11119912K. Fadeev—471111113
LDec 22 · 17:30C. Schmitt—9850K. Fadeev—1111113
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 08:00C. Schmitt4.33115791S. Happek1.2061111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191
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