TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167813
Played Jul 6Finished
Cosmo Schmitt
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511711911––
Sven Happek
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
How it is goingCosmo Schmitt above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Cosmo Schmitt 0–1 Sven Happek Cosmo Schmitt has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Happek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (0%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmitt 4.33 / Happek 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Happek)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167813
Schmitt4.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Happek1.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSchmitt0wins
AwayHappek1wins
Happek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSchmittHappekS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmittHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 43 vs 53 / 16914%31.4%6 / 43 vs 53 / 169Avg sets wonper match1.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match29.632.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HappekSchmitt 4.33/Happek 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Happek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Happek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 10:00C. Schmitt—7750S. Happek—1111113
C. Schmitt10
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LJul 7 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.06111011113C. Schmitt8.00712561LJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113LJul 6 · 16:00L. Kraus1.2015119113C. Schmitt4.331391171WJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 12:00C. Schmitt10.501860K. Fadeev1.021111113LJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJun 2 · 07:00J. Shim1.221111113C. Schmitt4.003670LJun 1 · 17:30D. Rinderer1.07116511113C. Schmitt7.5061111852LJun 1 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—11132153C. Schmitt—91111131
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
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