TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305185
Played Jul 28Finished
Sven Happek
Home
8.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511711––––
Olav Kosolosky
Away
1.05
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSven Happek above · Olav Kosolosky below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 48 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 74.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Sven Happek 0–1 Olav Kosolosky Sven Happek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Happek 1200 vs Kosolosky 1954
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 754 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Happek 20% vs Kosolosky 100%
Kosolosky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Happek 20% vs Kosolosky 80%
Kosolosky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Happek -2 · Kosolosky +5
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHappek 8.50 / Kosolosky 1.05
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305185
Happek8.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kosolosky1.05
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHappek0wins
AwayKosolosky1wins
Kosolosky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricHappekKosoloskyH − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.037.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHappekKosoloskyBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 169 vs 53 / 7130.8%74.7%52 / 169 vs 53 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.42.5per matchAvg pointsper match32.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyHappek 8.50/Kosolosky 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 18 · 11:00S. Happek—13760O. Kosolosky—1511113
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113WJul 27 · 12:30S. Happek1.871111113N. Kizakisz1.838420
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762
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