TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12179980
Played Jul 7Finished
Daniel Rinderer
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179111517117511
Enio Mendes
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Rinderer above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 104 set 5, 5-11
104 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Rinderer 4–1 Enio Mendes Enio Mendes has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinderer 1.67 / Mendes 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rinderer)+3.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12179980
Rinderer1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Mendes2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRinderer4wins
AwayMendes1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderRinderer leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRinderer100%3 of 3
AwayMendesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rinderer3Mendes2n = 5Rinderer took 3 of 5
S2Rinderer3Mendes2n = 5Rinderer took 3 of 5
S3Rinderer2Mendes3n = 5Mendes took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRindererMendesR − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.632.8+4.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRindererMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 201 vs 52 / 7369.2%71.2%139 / 201 vs 52 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererRinderer 1.67/Mendes 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer—1111113E. Mendes—9990
WJun 2 · 09:45D. Rinderer—118911113E. Mendes—91111582
WJun 1 · 09:30D. Rinderer—811911113E. Mendes—11311752
LJul 24 · 11:30D. Rinderer—7760E. Mendes—1111113
WJun 13 · 08:30D. Rinderer—1113113E. Mendes—41180
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.