TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12179610
Played Jul 7Finished
Tobias Saltzer
Home
3.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111176111012––
Enio Mendes
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
5111176111012––
H2H Tobias Saltzer 0–3 Enio Mendes Tobias Saltzer has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Mendes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saltzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (26%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaltzer 3.85 / Mendes 1.20
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Mendes)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12179610
Saltzer3.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mendes1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSaltzer0wins
AwayMendes3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMendes leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saltzer1Mendes2n = 3Mendes took 2 of 3
S2Saltzer0Mendes3n = 3Mendes took 3 of 3
S3Saltzer0Mendes3n = 3Mendes took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricSaltzerMendesS − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match26.041.0−15.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSaltzerMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 93 vs 53 / 7447.3%71.6%44 / 93 vs 53 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MendesSaltzer 3.85/Mendes 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Mendes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 6 · 13:00T. Saltzer—4470E. Mendes—1111113
LJun 9 · 09:45T. Saltzer—113101262E. Mendes—9111210113
LJun 8 · 13:00T. Saltzer—13530E. Mendes—1511113
T. Saltzer10
LAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181LAug 6 · 17:00K. Fadeev—1211113T. Saltzer—10720LAug 6 · 15:30T. Saltzer—9660K. Zimmermann—1111113WAug 6 · 13:00T. Saltzer—1211113T. Freund—10890LAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113WAug 6 · 07:30D. Zech1.3011911892T. Saltzer3.20711811113WJul 7 · 10:40K. Fadeev—115651T. Saltzer—91111113WJul 7 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.14112931T. Saltzer4.7091111113WJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113WJun 9 · 09:45E. Mendes1.229111210113T. Saltzer3.80113101262
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