TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12169564
Played Jul 7Finished
Kirill Fadeev
Home
1.14
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119211911311––
Tobias Saltzer
Away
4.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
119211911311––
H2H Kirill Fadeev 1–2 Tobias Saltzer Kirill Fadeev has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saltzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (21%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFadeev 1.14 / Saltzer 4.70
Signal prob.81% / 20%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12169564
Fadeev1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Saltzer4.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFadeev1wins
AwaySaltzer2wins
Saltzer leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fadeev2Saltzer1n = 3Fadeev took 2 of 3
S2Fadeev1Saltzer2n = 3Saltzer took 2 of 3
S3Fadeev1Saltzer2n = 3Saltzer took 2 of 3
S4Fadeev1Saltzer2n = 3Saltzer took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFadeevSaltzerF − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.039.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFadeevSaltzerBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 147 vs 39 / 8172.1%48.2%106 / 147 vs 39 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevFadeev 1.14/Saltzer 4.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.5%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Saltzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 7 · 10:40K. Fadeev—115651T. Saltzer—91111113
LJul 7 · 07:00K. Fadeev—112931T. Saltzer—91111113
WApr 6 · 07:30K. Fadeev—101111123T. Saltzer—1265101
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191
T. Saltzer10
LAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181LAug 6 · 17:00K. Fadeev—1211113T. Saltzer—10720LAug 6 · 15:30T. Saltzer—9660K. Zimmermann—1111113WAug 6 · 13:00T. Saltzer—1211113T. Freund—10890LAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113WAug 6 · 07:30D. Zech1.3011911892T. Saltzer3.20711811113WJul 7 · 10:40K. Fadeev—115651T. Saltzer—91111113LJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 6 · 17:30C. Schmitt—571361T. Saltzer—111111113
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