TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167822
Played Jul 6Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111719811––––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingSergio Carrillo above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 75 set 3, 8-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Sergio Carrillo 0–1 Daniel Rinderer Sergio Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 7.00 / Rinderer 1.08
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Rinderer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167822
Carrillo7.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Rinderer1.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCarrillo0wins
AwayRinderer1wins
Rinderer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricCarrilloRindererC − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match13.033.0−20.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 9 vs 135 / 19622.2%68.9%2 / 9 vs 135 / 196Avg sets wonper match1.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match27.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererCarrillo 7.00/Rinderer 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 29 · 17:00S. Carrillo—9130D. Rinderer—1111113
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130
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