TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11978918
Played Jun 2Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117115––––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5
54 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 4–0 Daniel Rinderer Daniel Rinderer has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.28 / Rinderer 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Turrini)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11978918
Turrini1.28
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Rinderer3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTurrini4wins
AwayRinderer0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTurrini leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTurrinin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayRinderer0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Turrini1Rinderer3n = 4Rinderer took 3 of 4
S2Turrini4Rinderer0n = 4Turrini took 4 of 4
S3Turrini3Rinderer1n = 4Turrini took 3 of 4
S4Turrini3Rinderer1n = 4Turrini took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTurriniRindererT − RBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match44.834.0+10.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 313 vs 126 / 18385.9%68.9%269 / 313 vs 126 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.28/Rinderer 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—1
WMay 21 · 11:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—1
WOct 20 · 15:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—1
WSep 15 · 09:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—2
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571WJun 1 · 12:30R. Turrini—91111113M. Stefanidis—119461WJun 1 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011112113C. Schmitt12.0091070
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102LJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571
Upcoming Matches
R. Turrini1 of 5 neutral
D. Rinderer
Nothing scheduled
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