TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11973096
Played Jun 1Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115115117––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-7
Point 66 set 4, 7-7
66 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Rafael Turrini 3–0 Daniel Rinderer Daniel Rinderer has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.30 / Rinderer 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Turrini)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11973096
Turrini1.30
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Rinderer3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTurrini3wins
AwayRinderer0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTurrini leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Turrini1Rinderer2n = 3Rinderer took 2 of 3
S2Turrini3Rinderer0n = 3Turrini took 3 of 3
S3Turrini2Rinderer1n = 3Turrini took 2 of 3
S4Turrini2Rinderer1n = 3Turrini took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTurriniRindererT − RBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.736.0+9.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 308 vs 123 / 17985.7%68.7%264 / 308 vs 123 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.30/Rinderer 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 21 · 11:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—1
WOct 20 · 15:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—1
WSep 15 · 09:00R. Turrini—3D. Rinderer—2
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 12:30R. Turrini—91111113M. Stefanidis—119461WJun 1 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011112113C. Schmitt12.0091070
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102LJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750
Upcoming Matches
R. Turrini1 of 5 neutral
D. Rinderer
Nothing scheduled
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