TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11973088
Played Jun 2Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Enio Mendes
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7
54 points played in total.
H2H Rafael Turrini 2–2 Enio Mendes Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.50 / Mendes 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Turrini)+7.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11973088
Turrini1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Mendes2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTurrini2wins
AwayMendes2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTurrini66.7%2 of 3
AwayMendesn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Turrini3Mendes1n = 4Turrini took 3 of 4
S2Turrini2Mendes2n = 4split evenly
S3Turrini3Mendes1n = 4Turrini took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricTurriniMendesT − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.031.5+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 311 vs 39 / 5585.9%70.9%267 / 311 vs 39 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.50/Mendes 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 25 · 06:30R. Turrini—3E. Mendes—0
LMay 12 · 09:44R. Turrini—2E. Mendes—3
LMay 12 · 07:30R. Turrini—0E. Mendes—3
WJun 9 · 14:30R. Turrini—3E. Mendes—0
R. Turrini10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840WJun 1 · 16:00R. Turrini1.3091111113D. Rinderer3.40115571WJun 1 · 12:30R. Turrini—91111113M. Stefanidis—119461WJun 1 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011112113C. Schmitt12.0091070
E. Mendes10
WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113WJul 6 · 09:30C. Schmitt10.5011196872E. Mendes1.028171111113LJul 6 · 07:30D. Rinderer1.731111113E. Mendes2.009990WJun 9 · 11:10K. Walter4.50841171E. Mendes1.1711118113
Upcoming Matches
R. Turrini1 of 5 neutral
E. Mendes
Nothing scheduled
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