Miroslav Dolezal vs Jakub Lysek 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 24Finished

Miroslav Dolezal

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1513116113––––

Jakub Lysek

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Lysek to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMiroslav Dolezal above · Jakub Lysek below

Set 1 · 15-13

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-3

Point 59 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Lysek at 54.0%

59 points played in total.

The pickContradict

Sealed 10:31

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Lysek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Dolezal 1319 vs Lysek 1307

Dolezal

Correct

both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dolezal 40% vs Lysek 20%

Dolezal

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dolezal 40% vs Lysek 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Dolezal +1 · Lysek -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDolezal 2.00 / Lysek 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Dolezal)-0.3pp

TT Cup · #13188600

Dolezal2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog50% won 16 of 32

Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10

Lysek1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 64 days ago (Jul 22) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite54% won 15 of 28

Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDolezalLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 48 vs 141 / 31845.8%44.3%22 / 48 vs 141 / 318Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.439.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dolezal

Dolezal 2.00/Lysek 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Lysek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Dolezal won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Dolezal10