TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Sergey Osipov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111210119––
Sergey Osipov
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 66.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 5–1 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Semenets
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1301 vs Osipov 1159
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 80% vs Osipov 20%
Semenets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 50% vs Osipov 30%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +1 · Osipov -3
Osipov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 1.44 / Osipov 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Semenets)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13176270
Semenets1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Osipov2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSemenets5wins
AwayOsipov1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSemenets leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets100%3 of 3
AwayOsipov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets3Osipov3n = 6split evenly
S2Semenets3Osipov3n = 6split evenly
S3Semenets4Osipov2n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S4Semenets3Osipov1n = 4Semenets took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSemenetsOsipovS − OBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.833.7+5.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 834 vs 128 / 27150.2%47.2%419 / 834 vs 128 / 271Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsSemenets 1.44/Osipov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 12:05S. Semenets331111113S. Osipov238780
WAug 30 · 08:35S. Semenets52119147113S. Osipov48611121182
WJul 19 · 08:05S. Semenets451021111113S. Osipov4112116662
LJun 20 · 10:00S. Semenets2311930S. Osipov351311113
WMay 25 · 10:05S. Semenets4111118113S. Osipov24511171
WMay 20 · 10:05S. Semenets3961111113S. Osipov31118751
S. Semenets10
WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731
S. Osipov10
LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113WAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113
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