TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Denys Khavanskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115115––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 54.1%
48 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 18–25 Denys Khavanskyi Serhii Semenets has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1288 vs Khavanskyi 1268
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 80% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 40% vs Khavanskyi 70%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -1 · Khavanskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.00 / Khavanskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13176249
Semenets2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Khavanskyi1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 24 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets60%3 of 5
AwayKhavanskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Semenets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Semenets4Khavanskyi5n = 9Khavanskyi took 5 of 9
S4Semenets1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S5Semenets2Khavanskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.4−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 833 vs 165 / 32350.2%51.1%418 / 833 vs 165 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiSemenets 2.00/Khavanskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 05:35S. Semenets5411101110123D. Khavanskyi49912612102
LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets331181041D. Khavanskyi4391112113
LSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets4571111972D. Khavanskyi41111711113
WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets331111113D. Khavanskyi176470
LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets311411421D. Khavanskyi4616811113
WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets539111111113D. Khavanskyi4511135882
LSep 3 · 06:35S. Semenets269980D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 10:35S. Semenets3811116372D. Khavanskyi49971111113
LAug 30 · 10:35S. Semenets4111111091D. Khavanskyi4113512113
S. Semenets10
LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123WSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110
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