TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Skalicky vs Dalibor Velky Jr 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 1–2 Dalibor Velky Jr Jiri Skalicky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1619 vs Jr 1631
Jr
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky +2 · Jr +4
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skalicky)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13197800
Skalicky1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Jr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 112 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkalicky1wins
AwayJr2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJr leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S2Skalicky2Jr1n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
S3Skalicky2Jr1n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkalickyJrS − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.333.7−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyJrBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 208 vs 281 / 56151%50.1%106 / 208 vs 281 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky218760D. Jr331111113
WAug 29 · 07:45J. Skalicky331111113D. Jr208480
LMar 14 · 18:40J. Skalicky4351411762D. Jr481112311113
J. Skalicky10
WSep 26 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.83126115113J. Travnicek1.83101161192WSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113LSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881
D. Jr10
WSep 26 · 06:15A. Veliiev2.00911771D. Jr1.7311811113WSep 24 · 09:15D. Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151WSep 24 · 07:40T. Krenek1.501241191D. Jr2.50101113113WSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Jr1.801111113LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr2.0011511652R. Sedlacek1.73611611113WSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113WSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122LSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782
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