TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13151191185111311
David Skulina
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 107 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 55.8%
107 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 1–1 David Skulina Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skalicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1609 vs Skulina 1624
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Skulina 40%
Skalicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 50% vs Skulina 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -1 · Skulina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.67 / Skulina 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skalicky)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13164437
Skalicky1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Skulina2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 17 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkalicky1wins
AwaySkulina1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkalickySkulinaSkalicky − SkulinaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.041.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickySkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 203 vs 86 / 17150.7%50.3%103 / 203 vs 86 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.67/Skulina 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 26 · 12:40J. Skalicky50137115142D. Skulina561111711163
WJul 26 · 09:40J. Skalicky341112113D. Skulina2791080
J. Skalicky10
LSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282
D. Skulina10
WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113WSep 15 · 15:15D. Skulina1.831611113M. Macurak1.8314490
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