TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158579
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Skalicky
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116118611119
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9
90 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 10–7 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Krupnik beat Skalicky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.61 / Krupnik 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skalicky)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13158579
Skalicky1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Krupnik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 96 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkalicky5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrupnik62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky2Krupnik8n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S2Skalicky7Krupnik3n = 10Skalicky took 7 of 10
S3Skalicky6Krupnik4n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S4Skalicky6Krupnik4n = 10Skalicky took 6 of 10
S5Skalicky2Krupnik3n = 5Krupnik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkalickyKrupnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.2+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 201 vs 463 / 89950.8%51.5%102 / 201 vs 463 / 899Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.61/Krupnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 07:45J. Skalicky47101111872J. Krupnik48128611113
WAug 22 · 21:08J. Skalicky49127811113J. Krupnik49101111892
WAug 22 · 17:40J. Skalicky4012611113J. Krupnik341011851
LAug 16 · 10:45J. Skalicky4591191152J. Krupnik49119117113
WAug 1 · 17:45J. Skalicky4291111113J. Krupnik34119951
LJul 19 · 08:43J. Skalicky378101181J. Krupnik3811124113
WJul 19 · 07:15J. Skalicky4181111113J. Krupnik35119961
LJul 11 · 13:45J. Skalicky37814871J. Krupnik45111211113
WMay 23 · 12:50J. Skalicky50811119113J. Krupnik3511441152
LMay 23 · 12:10J. Skalicky4781191182J. Krupnik45116116113
J. Skalicky10
LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541
J. Krupnik10
WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113LSep 17 · 12:45M. Macurak1.611111123J. Krupnik2.2057100LSep 17 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9181361182J. Skvrna1.801111118113LSep 17 · 10:45J. Krupnik2.381391181M. Macurak1.5315119113
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