TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156753
Played Sep 19Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210511811118911
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:39 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 56.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 2–3 Jiri Skalicky Radek Sedlacek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skalicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1565 vs Skalicky 1616
Skalicky
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 80% vs Skalicky 40%
Sedlacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 60% vs Skalicky 30%
Sedlacek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +1 · Skalicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 2.10 / Skalicky 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skalicky)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13156753
Sedlacek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Skalicky1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSedlacek2wins
AwaySkalicky3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSkalicky leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek50%2 of 4
AwaySkalickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek4Skalicky1n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5
S2Sedlacek2Skalicky3n = 5Skalicky took 3 of 5
S3Sedlacek1Skalicky4n = 5Skalicky took 4 of 5
S4Sedlacek3Skalicky2n = 5Sedlacek took 3 of 5
S5Sedlacek1Skalicky2n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSedlacekSkalickySedlacek − SkalickyBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.641.0+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 316 vs 102 / 20146.2%50.8%146 / 316 vs 102 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySedlacek 2.10/Skalicky 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek4512581192J. Skalicky511011118113
WAug 22 · 18:40R. Sedlacek47116136113J. Skalicky45611111162
WDec 21 · 07:15R. Sedlacek3811115113J. Skalicky25561131
LDec 12 · 22:05R. Sedlacek4151171172J. Skalicky44117114113
LDec 12 · 19:15R. Sedlacek3711101061J. Skalicky4051212113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192WSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143WSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143WSep 18 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.57101413113L. Kantor2.2512121141WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113WSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123
J. Skalicky10
LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113LSep 12 · 06:40B. Moravec1.6141111113J. Skalicky2.20117541LSep 12 · 06:10A. Vitasek1.731111113J. Skalicky2.006480
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