TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158502
Played Sep 19Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15131181214911119
Radek Benes
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 113 set 5, 11-9
113 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 16–20 Radek Benes Radek Sedlacek has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sedlacek beat Benes 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.91 / Benes 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13158502
Sedlacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Benes1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 114 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek4wins
AwayBenes6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek66.7%4 of 6
AwayBenes100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek6Benes4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek6Benes4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek6Benes4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek1Benes6n = 7Benes took 6 of 7
S5Sedlacek1Benes2n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekBenesS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.6+1.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 316 vs 498 / 96046.2%51.9%146 / 316 vs 498 / 960Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesSedlacek 1.91/Benes 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 08:15R. Sedlacek371112143R. Benes27510120
LSep 9 · 10:10R. Sedlacek4411511892R. Benes43411611113
LSep 9 · 07:40R. Sedlacek361011691R. Benes4312911113
LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek35871191R. Benes3911116113
LAug 10 · 10:10R. Sedlacek361110691R. Benes3841211113
WJul 27 · 08:10R. Sedlacek351111133R. Benes2595110
LJun 24 · 13:15R. Sedlacek47611713102R. Benes511161111123
WJun 24 · 10:10R. Sedlacek541410118113R. Benes50121261192
LJun 24 · 08:40R. Sedlacek32511791R. Benes3711411113
WJun 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek331111113R. Benes239680
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143WSep 18 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.57101413113L. Kantor2.2512121141WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113WSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123
R. Benes10
WSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113LSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181LSep 18 · 12:15R. Benes1.73461151T. Krenek2.0011113113LSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.73911115153R. Benes2.00118711132LSep 18 · 09:13T. Krenek1.8311811113R. Benes1.83811571LSep 18 · 08:15R. Benes1.73811691T. Krenek2.0011811113
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