TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13148841
Played Sep 18Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111012––––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Erik Precek at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 1–2 Radek Sedlacek Erik Precek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1549 vs Sedlacek 1527
Precek
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 40% vs Sedlacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 40% vs Sedlacek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -1 · Sedlacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.75 / Sedlacek 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13148841
Precek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Sedlacek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 36 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePrecek1wins
AwaySedlacek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSedlacek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySedlacek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek0Sedlacek3n = 3Sedlacek took 3 of 3
S2Precek0Sedlacek3n = 3Sedlacek took 3 of 3
S3Precek1Sedlacek2n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricPrecekSedlacekP − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match31.737.7−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 466 vs 143 / 31146.8%46%218 / 466 vs 143 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekPrecek 2.75/Sedlacek 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2569100R. Sedlacek341111123
LJul 17 · 08:15E. Precek257990R. Sedlacek331111113
WMay 6 · 11:10E. Precek45661111113R. Sedlacek4611118972
E. Precek10
LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123WSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113LSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171WSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123WSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851LSep 13 · 20:45M. Moravec1.831110145113R. Sedlacek1.83612121162LSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191
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