TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143520
Played Sep 17Finished
Erik Precek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10128111012––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Erik Precek at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 6–10 Dalibor Velky Jr Erik Precek has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Jr
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1568 vs Jr 1629
Jr
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 60% vs Jr 40%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -1 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Precek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Precek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13143520
Precek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 34 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Jr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 110 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek4wins
AwayJr6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek60%3 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Precek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Precek3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S4Precek4Jr4n = 8split evenly
S5Precek1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekJrP − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.7−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 463 vs 270 / 54047.1%50%218 / 463 vs 270 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekPrecek 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 25 · 12:44E. Precek4111118113D. Jr26841131
LJul 25 · 10:10E. Precek29104150D. Jr401211173
LJul 17 · 06:15E. Precek37119981D. Jr4291111113
WJul 14 · 09:15E. Precek50119811113D. Jr3981111542
LJul 14 · 07:15E. Precek4151111772D. Jr48119611113
LJul 13 · 16:15E. Precek2612770D. Jr361411113
LJun 10 · 06:15E. Precek528121111102D. Jr551110913123
LMay 11 · 08:45E. Precek35137781D. Jr44111111113
WMay 11 · 08:10E. Precek4311119123D. Jr399911101
WApr 26 · 16:50E. Precek4391112113D. Jr381191081
E. Precek10
WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 09:40E. Precek1.6761011141L. Kantor2.1011125163WSep 13 · 12:35J. Krupnik2.059911101E. Precek1.6811115123WSep 13 · 12:10T. Krenek1.673960E. Precek2.101111113LSep 13 · 11:10E. Precek2.25841181J. Skvrna1.5711117113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.5714117113E. Precek2.251261171WSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113LSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182WSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090WSep 12 · 13:40D. Skulina1.618137101E. Precek2.20111111123
D. Jr10
LSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111WSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl1.735161481D. Jr2.00111812113LSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113
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