TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143341
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51116181412811––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 16-18
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 95 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 57.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 5–11 Dalibor Velky Jr Tomas Kindl has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kindl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Jr
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1513 vs Jr 1622
Jr
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 20% vs Jr 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 40% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl -4 · Jr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kindl)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13143341
Kindl1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 110 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKindl3wins
AwayJr7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl75%3 of 4
AwayJr100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Kindl2Jr8n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S3Kindl6Jr4n = 10Kindl took 6 of 10
S4Kindl4Jr3n = 7Kindl took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKindlJrK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.542.4−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlJrBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 425 vs 268 / 53750.4%49.9%214 / 425 vs 268 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl435161481D. Jr52111812113
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl34791351D. Jr44111111113
WSep 8 · 12:10T. Kindl331111113D. Jr224990
WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl4312713113D. Jr4110111191
LAug 21 · 06:45T. Kindl53122201272D. Jr6410112210113
LAug 5 · 07:10T. Kindl2798100D. Jr341111123
WJul 19 · 18:40T. Kindl3711114113D. Jr35781191
LJul 7 · 08:40T. Kindl2891270D. Jr361114113
LJul 7 · 06:10T. Kindl38981381D. Jr44111111113
LJul 1 · 06:10T. Kindl4998131182D. Jr521111118113
T. Kindl10
LSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142LSep 17 · 07:15R. Benes1.80841111113T. Kindl1.9111116762LSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102LSep 16 · 11:40D. Pawlik1.731281111113T. Kindl2.0014117992LSep 16 · 11:10L. Dzida1.9111611113T. Kindl1.80711831LSep 16 · 10:10T. Kindl1.57791191M. Moravec2.2511117113WSep 16 · 08:33D. Vitasek2.001110170T. Kindl1.731312193LSep 16 · 08:10T. Kindl1.834790D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 16 · 06:40M. Macurak1.831011118113T. Kindl1.8312651112WSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik1.83911119102T. Kindl1.83118911123
D. Jr10
LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111LSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113LSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181WSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kindl
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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