TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143514
Played Sep 17Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1157111214711––
Radek Benes
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 23–21 Radek Benes Radek Benes has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-21 in 44
Jr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1622 vs Benes 1614
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Benes +3
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Benes 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13143514
Jr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite47% won 67 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it72% 51 of 71
Benes2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayBenes5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr62.5%5 of 8
AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Benes2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr7Benes3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Jr3Benes7n = 10Benes took 7 of 10
S4Jr4Benes4n = 8split evenly
S5Jr1Benes3n = 4Benes took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrBenesJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.9+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 537 vs 495 / 95149.9%52.1%268 / 537 vs 495 / 951Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Benes 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:40D. Jr341111123R. Benes2587100
LSep 7 · 12:10D. Jr32711681R. Benes3911611113
WSep 3 · 06:15D. Jr4211119113R. Benes27661141
WSep 2 · 08:45D. Jr331111113R. Benes237790
WSep 2 · 06:15D. Jr48117118113R. Benes4351181182
LAug 31 · 09:10D. Jr4011571162R. Benes51911119113
LAug 31 · 06:10D. Jr4911159592R. Benes559131111113
LAug 29 · 17:30D. Jr4518710101R. Benes51161112123
WAug 29 · 13:45D. Jr4111118113R. Benes37891191
LAug 13 · 13:20D. Jr551011141192R. Benes48122167113
D. Jr10
WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111WSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl1.735161481D. Jr2.00111812113LSep 15 · 12:53M. Macurak1.7391111113D. Jr2.00119971LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113LSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181WSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113
R. Benes10
WSep 17 · 07:15R. Benes1.80841111113T. Kindl1.9111116762WSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113WSep 14 · 13:15R. Benes2.00111011113J. Skvrna1.73812781LSep 14 · 12:15T. Kindl1.911111133R. Benes1.8058110WSep 14 · 11:15R. Benes1.91111110113J. Skvrna1.80781281WSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 16:50R. Benes1.8365111132M. Macurak1.83111169113LSep 13 · 16:10R. Benes2.0091113782D. Jr1.731131111113WSep 13 · 14:40M. Macurak2.008811111R. Benes1.7311119133LSep 13 · 14:10J. Krupnik1.66111112113R. Benes2.05691491
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
R. Benes
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.