TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135160
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Macurak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119119117––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7
78 points played in total.
H2H Michal Macurak 10–12 Dalibor Velky Jr Michal Macurak has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Macurak beat Jr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Macurak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Macurak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMacurak 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Macurak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13135160
Macurak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 110 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMacurak7wins
AwayJr3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMacurak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMacurak80%4 of 5
AwayJr40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Macurak5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Macurak7Jr3n = 10Macurak took 7 of 10
S3Macurak6Jr4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S4Macurak6Jr3n = 9Macurak took 6 of 9
S5Macurak2Jr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMacurakJrM − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.339.2+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMacurakJrBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 483 vs 267 / 53450.9%50%246 / 483 vs 267 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakMacurak 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak46121111123D. Jr371458101
WSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak4111136113D. Jr355111181
LSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak49101191182D. Jr44124116113
LSep 13 · 13:40M. Macurak50131112141D. Jr5415914163
WSep 12 · 13:10M. Macurak481131111123D. Jr50911713102
WSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak331111113D. Jr229760
WSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak4291111113D. Jr31116861
WSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak3851111113D. Jr28116471
LAug 20 · 06:45M. Macurak4111381452D. Jr505111112113
WAug 13 · 10:45M. Macurak45118114113D. Jr4171141182
M. Macurak10
LSep 15 · 11:40M. Macurak1.5771111992J. Krupnik2.25115411113WSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101LSep 15 · 09:40M. Macurak1.40811101122L. Kantor2.75116127113WSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181LSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340WSep 13 · 16:50R. Benes1.8365111132M. Macurak1.83111169113WSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141LSep 13 · 14:40M. Macurak2.008811111R. Benes1.7311119133
D. Jr10
LSep 15 · 12:10D. Jr2.0012101112102L. Kantor1.731412910123LSep 15 · 10:40M. Macurak1.73121111123D. Jr2.001458101WSep 15 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.57911101142D. Jr2.25113124113LSep 13 · 21:14M. Macurak1.8311136113D. Jr1.835111181WSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113WSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113WSep 13 · 16:10R. Benes2.0091113782D. Jr1.731131111113LSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Macurak
D. Jr
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